MIND DOCS

EXCERPTS FROM UNDISCLOSED MIND POLICY PAPERS AND REPORTS

“Israel’s technological power, with emphasis on civilian and dual use tech, will play a pivotal role in determining it’s future world standing and its ability to defend and enhance core national security interests.”

Source:MIND geo-technologic roadmap for Israel (December 2024)

“In light of the reassuring messages conveyed by the rebels, Israel must strive to thoroughly understand their intentions regarding it. Their declarations, which assert aspirations to ease the suffering of Syrian citizens and establish peace and tranquillity in the country, do not align with any turn toward actions against Israel, as such a course would achieve precisely the opposite."

Source:MIND policy paper, “Assessing the Rebels' Intentions: A Balance Between Promises and Potential Risks“ (December 2024)

“The war presents Israel with opportunities to promote change in Palestinian society, which is not homogeneous in its views of support for Hamas and the armed resistance, and is largely a result of the lack of proper political leadership and the absence of a political and economic horizon. Realizing the opportunity requires Israel to change its policy towards the PA, which is struggling for internal legitimacy.”

Source:MIND insights on public opinion trends in the Palestinian arena, one-year post October 7th (December 2024)

“We must work with the incoming Trump administration to continue leading a solution that includes an Arab-Western coalition for a transitional period and to prevent the resurgence of Hamas. This is an opportunity for the administration to create a regional move of great importance that will prepare the ground for the implementation of the Deal of the Century and normalization with Saudi Arabia.”

Source:MIND policy paper on the implications of the next Trump administration on the Palestinian arena, and potential disagreements with the Israeli government (November 2024)

“The Israeli challenge will be to agree on understandings backed by side letters regarding the continuation of activities against the strengthening of Hamas and Hezbollah after the war. The issue of the hostages is likely to remain a top priority for Trump, just as it was for the outgoing president.”

Source:10 Insights on the Impact of Trump’s Second Term in Various Arenas and 10 Recommendations for Israel (November 2024)

“The mechanism for ending the conflict along the northern border should be based on a United Nations resolution to which both the Lebanese government and Israel agree and commit, with guarantees provided by the United States, France, and the international community. For practical and procedural reasons, the preferred basis is Resolution 1701; however, it should be supplemented with conditions and enforcement mechanisms that will make it effective and ensure Israel’s interests are safeguarded.”

Source:MIND policy paper, “A Framework for Resolving the Northern Border Conflict” (October 2024)

"The composition of the new commission and the expanded influence of von der Leyen present many opportunities for Israel to improve its relations with the EU. This will require close personal connections with the new commissioners and a comprehensive effort to secure long-term agreements with the Union.”

Source: “New European Commission: A Gateway to Expanding Israel-EU Relations” (September 2024)

“Israel should pursue a formal strategic partnership between Israel and the United States—initially in routine circumstances and subsequently in emergencies—within the framework of updating and expanding the Strategic Partnership Act legislated in 2014 and approved by Congress. This would solidify Israel's status as a leading strategic partner of the United States.”

Source: MIND policy Paper on a U.S.-Israel Defense Alliance Initiative (August 2024)

“Another consequence of the damage to Russia's image as a global power is the improvement of Iran's position in their bilateral relations. Tehran may feel emboldened to make greater demands of Moscow in their cooperation discussions.”

Source: MIND policy paper, “The Invasion of Kursk as a Turning Point in the Russia-Ukraine War” (August 2024)

“Despite the recommendation to refrain from taking direct active measures against the regime, it is important to create a credible threat of such actions in the future should Assad fail to alter his course. It is essential to instill in Assad the understanding that neither he nor his regime is immune and that their actions—or in certain cases, their inaction—could carry a significant price.”

Source: MIND ‘Devil’s Advocate’ memo, “Maintaining Leverage Through a Credible Threat Against the Assad Regime” (August 2024)

“Another blow, even if it exacts a price from Lebanon, could destabilize the already strained foundations of Israeli society and accelerate its fragmentation. At the very least, it would place Israel in a weaker position for negotiations with Hamas regarding a ceasefire.”

Source: MIND policy paper on the prospects of additional flareups between Israel and Hezbollah (August 2024)

"China may utilize the crisis in Bangladesh to increase its influence while weakening India's dominance in Southern Asia. As such, China will seek to establish an additional area of influence with the "Global South", as opposed to the United States and its allies"

Source: MIND policy paper, "The Bubbling of Bangladesh – An Opportunity for Israel to Demonstrate the Muslim Brotherhood Threat" (August 2024)

"The leading paradigm perceives the Houthi forces as a regional and global problem, and not as an Israeli problem. This, owing to the Houthis' attack on international vessels and repercussions on international trade. This development presents Israel with an opportunity to demonstrate Iran and its proxy as an obstruction to international order."

Source: MIND policy paper, "The International Coalition's Response to with the Houthi Threat and Implications for Israel" (July 2024)

"Recent developments in Asia require the attention of the Israeli political and security apparatus, while the IDF continues to fend off threats emanating from Hamas, Iran and its proxies in the region. Like-minded countries in Asia see Israel as a military and technological power, creating opportunities for deepening security and technological partnerships."

Source: Mind policy paper on insights from the Asian security environment (April 2024)

"Two years into the war, it is now obvious that the war in Ukraine is a large-scale attrition war. Long wars necessitate comprehensive military preparedness; the ability to deal with a high economic price; …maintaining legitimacy both internal and in the international arena. Ukraine, that was unified in the past, is currently dealing with internal schisms regarding military service…"

Source: Mind policy paper further to the two-year milestone of the war in Ukraine (March 2024)

"At the heart of the chance of achieving an arrangement in the short term is the fact that both sides have an interest in reaching an agreement to avoid a wide war, but in the long term only partial and temporary agreements will be possible, rather than a stable one״

Source: MIND policy paper UN Resolution 1701 - Zones of Possible Agreement between Israel and Hezbollah (February 2024)

"Israel's current crisis provides an opportunity to overhaul its national strategy, addressing challenges and maximizing opportunities. This effort should be guided by several key pillars, including reinforcing the IDF considering the failure of the existing security concept, prioritizing the security component in future diplomatic arrangements with the Palestinians, strengthening ties with the United States, enhancing regional integration, and adopting a responsible economic policy to foster rebuilding and prevent stagnation"

Source: Turning Catastrophe Into a Vision: MIND Israel 2024 National Strategy for a Post-Hamas Gaza (January 2024)

"The State of Israel faces a dilemma:
i. To end the fighting in Gaza without significant military action in the north, but promote a national rehabilitation plan with increased military deployment on the border in order to reduce the number of young families that move out and encourage others to move in from other parts of country.
ii. To initiate a military move designed to restore the sense of security in the northern communities so that young families return to live near the border."

Source: MIND survey conducted among approximately 1,000 evacuees from Israel’s northern communities (December 2023)

“MY YOM KIPPUR WAR” - Amos Yadlin shared his personal story of the Yom Kippur War, as a member of Course 68. Yadlin's narrative offers an intimate look of the challenges, experiences and pivotal moments in one of the most memerable and determined events in Israel's history, written from a perspective of a Major who lived it firsthand.

Source: The book "Flight Training - Course 68, 50 years from Yom Kippur War (September 2023)

“China and Iran have conflicting interests in the Middle East. While Iran is interested in increased instability, which helps it expand its regional influence, China is acting to increase stability in order to lower energy prices and maximize its regional investments. Therefore, Israel and China have overlapping interests vis-à-vis reducing Iranian aggression in the Middle East.”

Source: MIND policy paper to Israeli officials on how to leverage China to counter Iran (July 2023)

“From the regional perspective, it is apparent that the Iran-Saudi reconciliation has stopped the trend of diplomatically boycotting Hezbollah, and the organization is improving its political standing, especially with Saudi Arabia and the Gulf. In parallel, Iran is pressing Hezbollah to cooperate with the Palestinian factions to threaten Israel and reap benefits.”

Source: MIND policy paper to senior military officials on how to deter Hezbollah and reduce the chances of miscalculations (July 2023)

“The success of the visit and the ability to leverage it towards a fruitful bilateral dialogue, will determine whether the two nations will diverge from the current trajectory of clash and confrontation, or whether the new route will lead towards a new Cold War, which will be characterized by further tensions and will shape the global power structures, including an armament race in USA/China areas of influence.”

Source: MIND report to Israeli officials following USA Sec. of State visit to China (June 2023)

“The UAE’s departure from the USA-led maritime coalition is another manifestation of the Gulf’s hedging strategy and diversification of support, ultimately intended to expand their maneuverability between Iran and the USA. This can also be another method to show their disappointment from the bilateral relations with the USA.”

Source: MIND policy paper to Israeli officials on the prospects of Iran establishing a maritime coalition (June 2023)

“Israel is not willing to enter a negotiation process with the Palestinians under a Chinese umbrella unless the USA will have a part in the process and will press Israel to join. It is highly unlikely that the USA will be willing to cooperate with China on this issue in the near future, or that the USA will be willing to participate in an international summit where it is not leading and sharing credit with China.”

Source: MIND report to Israeli officials on Mahmoud Abbas’s visit to China (June 2023)

“China’s aggressive behavior, doubled by the growing number of maritime skirmishes between China and its South China Sea neighbors, and the growing tensions between China and the USA on the Straits of the Taiwan, has increased the security needs of ASEAN’s members to strengthen stability and to project a unified maritime front.”

Source: MIND policy paper to Israeli officials on the motivations behind the ASEAN joint military exercise in the South China Sea (June 2023)

Climate & Sustainability

Provide climate change analysis and its consequences across various arenas relevant to Israel’s national security and leverage it to anchor Israel’s leading role in regional and international arenas.

"Netanyahu should still maintain productive economic ties with China, in a way that protects Israel’s national security concerns and unique characteristics, while creating better partnerships with U.S. friends in the West and in Asia - especially India, Japan, and South Korea.”

From a strategic document for the Israeli Cabinet ministers (March 2023).

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

Highlight the critical and emerging technologies’s role as a new significant element in Israel’s national security.

CORE PROGRAMS

"Netanyahu should still maintain productive economic ties with China, in a way that protects Israel’s national security concerns and unique characteristics, while creating better partnerships with U.S. friends in the West and in Asia - especially India, Japan, and South Korea.”

From a strategic document for the Israeli Cabinet ministers (March 2023).

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